Gallup Senior Economist Jonathan Rothwell synthesizes data challenging the notion that globalization and manufacturing’s decline explain President Trump’s electoral victory. When controlling for demographic factors, Mr. Trump was only three percent more popular among manufacturing workers than non-manufacturing workers. Current supporters of the president are less concerned than their countrymen about how trade and technology may impact their work. Writing for the New York Times, Rothwell notes that conscious racial attitudes correlate strongly with support for Trump; in the Atlantic Ta-nehisi Coates analyzes the depth and breadth of unacknowledged racial attitudes in connection with the president’s rise to power.
The U.S. Department of Labor announced an increase in the minimum wage for work done on federal contracts: contractors are currently guaranteed $10.20 per hour, and their minimum wage will increase to $10.35 per hour effective January 1, 2018. The analogous minimum cash wage for tipped employees will increase from $6.80 to $7.25 at the same time. Politco notes that this move has the Trump Department of Labor carrying out—not rescinding—an Obama-era executive order, though it’s unclear how many workers will be affected by these increases.
Commentators react to Tuesday’s Census reports showing a higher national median household income and lower rate of poverty for 2016 than 2015. “The Economy Isn’t Broken,” concludes David Brooks. If anything, low labor productivity is the problem. Patricia Cohen takes a longer view, arguing that earnings aren’t as high or equitable as they seem. The median lifetime income for an American man has decreased 19 percent since 1967, with high earners faring markedly better than others.
Daily News & Commentary
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February 15
The Office of Personnel Management directs federal agencies to terminate their collective bargaining agreements, and Indian farmworkers engage in a one-day strike to protest a trade deal with the United States.
February 13
Sex workers in Nevada fight to become the nation’s first to unionize; industry groups push NLRB to establish a more business-friendly test for independent contractor status; and UFCW launches an anti-AI price setting in grocery store campaign.
February 12
Teamsters sue UPS over buyout program; flight attendants and pilots call for leadership change at American Airlines; and Argentina considers major labor reforms despite forceful opposition.
February 11
Hollywood begins negotiations for a new labor agreement with writers and actors; the EEOC launches an investigation into Nike’s DEI programs and potential discrimination against white workers; and Mayor Mamdani circulates a memo regarding the city’s Economic Development Corporation.
February 10
San Francisco teachers walk out; NLRB reverses course on SpaceX; NYC nurses secure tentative agreements.
February 9
FTC argues DEI is anticompetitive collusion, Supreme Court may decide scope of exception to forced arbitration, NJ pauses ABC test rule.